Here is an attempt to answer my own question, using the "division
polynomials" of Kevin's and Jared's answers. It is probably the maximally naive idea, and I do not claim it
works, though it's not clear to me that it can't.
I've community wiki-ed this answer, as it's probably junk anyway ...
Fix $A,Bin mathbb{Z}$, obtaining an elliptic curve $E$ over $S=Spec
mathbb{Z}[Delta^{-1}]$, and a prime $pgeq 5$ not dividing the
discriminant $Delta=Delta(A,B)$. The
division polynomial $psi_p(t)$ is supposed to be a polynomial of
degree $d=(p^2-1)/2$ over $mathbb{Z}$, whose roots are the values
$t(P)=x(P)/z(P)$ as $P$ ranges over the points of exact order $p$ in
$E$.
Turn $psi_p$ into a homogeneous polynomial $g$ of degree $d$ in
$mathbb{Z}[x,y,z]$, so that $g(x,y,1)=psi_p(x)$. The polynomial
deterimes a curve $C=(g)$ in $P^2/S$, and thus a closed subscheme
$D=Ecap C$ of $E$. Over $mathbb{Z}[Delta^{-1},p^{-1}]$, $D$ should
consist of
the points of exact order $p$ on $E$ (with multiplicity $1$), together
with the basepoint of $E$ with multiplicity $d$.
Claim. $D$ is an effective Cartier
divisor on $E/S$, of degree $3d$.
Proof. I don't know. I need to prove that $Dto
S$ is flat, the main concern being the behavior over
$mathbb{Z}_{(p)}$. I don't even know if this is really plausible in general.
Let's pretend we somehow know $D$ is an effective Cartier divisor on $E$
relative to the base $S$. There is another relative Cartier
divisor, namely
$$ D' = E[p] quad + quad (d-1)[0]$$
where $E[p]$ is the $p$-torsion subgroup scheme of $E$, and $[0]$ is the
degree one divisor of the basepoint of $E$.
It seems clear that away from characteristic $p$, the divisors $D$
and $D'$ are equal. Equality of effective divisors on a smooth curve
is a closed condition, so they should be equal over all of
$S$.
The divisor I want is thus $D''=D-d[0]=D'-d[0]$ (which is still
effective). Then it's really easy to find a homogeneous polynomial
$h$ of degree $2d/3$ which defines $D''$; because of the form of the
Weierstrass equation, you can produce it from $g$ by hand, and if my claim is true you can produce it globally, i.e., with coefficients in $mathbb{Z}[A,B]$.
I've carried out this out in the case $p=5$, and it appears to "work".
That is, I get an answer which appears sane for general $A$ and $B$, and
which for some explicit cases I've tried of $A,Bin mathbb{Z}$ appears to give me a flat $Dto S$.
For instance, if $E/mathbb{Z}[6^{-1}]$ is the curve with $(A,B)=(0,1)$ (which reduces to a supersingular curve at $p=5$), I find
$$h= 729z^{8}-1350x^4z^4+360x^6z^2+5x^8.$$
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