Tuesday, 28 April 2009

pr.probability - Hitting times for an N-dimensional random walk on a lattice with (strictly positive) random integer steps

Assuming you mean Leonid Kovalev's interpretation, the distribution of the hitting time in the $N = 1$ case is the same as the distribution of the number of cycles of a random permutation of $[n]$.



To be more specific, I'll change coordinates. Let $X_0 = (x_0^1, ldots, x_0^N) = (S, S, ldots, S)$. Let $X_1 = (x_1^1, ldots, x_1^N)$, where $x_1^j$ is chosen uniformly at random from $0, 1, ldots, x_0^j-1$. Define $X_2$ similarly in terms of $X_1$, and so on.



Then the sequence $(x_0^1, x_1^1, x_2^1, x_3^1, ldots)$ are as follows:



  • $x_0^1 = L$, of course.

  • $x_1^1$ is uniformly distributed on ${ 0, ldots, S-1 }$.

  • $x_2^1$ is uniformly distributed on ${ 0, ldots, x_1^1-1 }$.

and so on...
In particular the distribution of $x_1^1$ is the distribution of number of elements in a random permutation on $S$ elements which are {it not} in the cycle containing 1; In particular the distribution of $x_1^1$ is the distribution of number of elements in a random permutation on $S$ elements which are {it not} in any of the $k$ cycles with the smallest minima.



So the distribution of the smallest $k$ for which $x_k^1 = 0$ is exactly the distribution of the number of cycles of a random permutation of ${ 1, ldots, S }$; this is $1 + 1/2 + cdots + 1/S sim log S + gamma$, where $gamma = 0.577ldots$ is the Euler-Mascheroni constant.



In the higher-dimensional cases, the time to reach $(0, ldots, 0)$ is just the {it maximum} of the number of cycles of $N$ permutations chosen uniformly at random; this should still have expectation $log S$ plus a constant depending on $N$.

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