According to the standard ΛCDM cosmological model, the observable universe has a density of about $rho = 2.5!times!10^{-27};mathrm{kg/m^3}$, with a cosmological consant of about $Lambda = 1.3!times!10^{-52};mathrm{m^{-2}}$, is very close to spatially flat, and has a current proper radius of about $r = 14.3,mathrm{Gpc}$.
From this, we can conclude that the total mass of the observable universe is about
$$M = frac{4}{3}pi r^3rho sim 9.1!times!10^{53},mathrm{kg}text{.}$$
Sine the universe at large is nonrotating and uncharged, it's natural to compare this to a Schwarzschild black hole. The Schwarzschild radius of such a black hole is
$$R_s = frac{2GM}{c^2}sim 44,mathrm{Gpc}.$$
Well! Larger that the observable universe.
But the Schwarzschild spacetime has zero cosmological constant, whereas ours is positive, so we should instead compare this to a Schwarzschild-de Sitter black hole. The SdS metric is related to the Schwarzchild one by
$$1-frac{R_s}{r}quadmapstoquad1 - frac{R_s}{r} - frac{1}{3}Lambda r^2,$$
and for our values we have $9Lambda(GM/c^2)^2 sim 520$. This quantity is important because the black hole event horizon and the cosmological horizon become close in $r$-coordinate when it is close to $1$, a condition that creates a maximum possible mass for an SdS black hole for a given positive cosmological constant. For our $Lambda$, that extremal limit gives $M_text{Nariai} sim 4!times!10^{52},mathrm{kg}$, smaller than the mass of the observable universe.
In conclusion, the mass of the observable universe cannot make a black hole.
Well, we don't fully comprehend black matter, do we? And it was just "yesterday" that we discovered the "black energy", wasn't it?
If GTR with cosmological constant is right, we don't need to "fully comprehend" it to know its gravitational effect, which is what the calculation is based on. If GTR is wrong, which is of course quite possible, then we could be living in some analogue of a black hole. But then it's rather unclear what theory of gravity you wish for us to use to try to answer the question. There's no remotely competitive theory that's even approaching general acceptance.
From the perspective of our huge ignorance, I think that 14.3Gpc and 44Gpc are not even one order of magnitude apart, which I consider a good approximation.
Actually, the point of that calculation was to show that it's at least prima facie plausible. The Schwarzschild radius calculation doesn't rule out the black hole--quite the opposite. However, it's also not appropriate for reasons I explained above. The more relevant one actually does have mass more than one order of magnitude apart, and shows inconsistency. So if GTR with Λ is correct, it's unlikely because the ΛCDM error bars aren't that bad.
However, even if we still treat it as "close enough", that does not by itself imply what you want. The question of what kind of black hole all the mass of the observable universe would make, if any, is quite different from whether or not we're living in one. The black hypothetical needs to be larger still.
The biggest point of uncertainly, though, is the cosmological constant, even if GTR is otherwise correct. If we're allowed to have very different conditions outside our hypothetical black hole, then we could still have one, but then we get into very speculative physics at best, and just complete guesswork at worst.
So treat the above answer as conditional on the mainstream physics; if that's not what you want, then there can be no general answer besides "we don't know". And that's always a possibility, although not a very interesting one.
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